Work in progress IARPG-OPS-2 2.0.21-wip

Global publication search

Search the operations design system

Type to search standards, missions, roles, authorities, reports, sources, pages, schemas, and UAI memory.

Six connected lenses · one evidence boundary

Understand the world as
systems in motion.

A country is not one actor. An alliance is not one friendship. A dependency is not automatic control. A crisis is not a prediction. IARPG now connects six research lenses so missions and fictional factions can show institutions, disagreements, constraints, evidence, and recovery.

Direct answer

What is the World Systems Observatory?

It is a research-navigation layer that connects archival context, practical authority, domestic politics, regional institutions, material dependencies, intelligence evidence, and crisis propagation. It helps writers ask better questions before translating evidence into fictional missions. It is not a live geopolitical feed, prediction service, infrastructure-risk map, or country-ranking system.

Source set
6 preserved reports · 36 bounded publication decisions
Machine map
6 lenses and the recommended research sequence
Context first
260 archival profiles · no alignment inference
Current research
Country proposals keep facts, assumptions, and fiction separate

Recommended reading sequence

Context first.
Consequences last.

Each stage answers a different question. Skipping stages creates familiar errors: treating legal text as practical authority, government policy as unanimous public opinion, trade as control, classified material as certain, or a model as a forecast.

  1. 00
    World context

    What place, population, institution, economy, infrastructure, and environmental conditions are documented?

    Open context →
  2. 01
    Power in practice

    Who has formal authority, practical influence, implementation capacity, oversight, and remedy?

    Read reviewed synthesis →
  3. 02
    Domestic alignment

    Which coalitions, institutions, constituencies, and transitions shape external policy?

    Read reviewed synthesis →
  4. 03
    Regional organizations

    Which decision rules, secretariats, coalitions, and small-state strategies shape outcomes?

    Read reviewed synthesis →
  5. 04
    Strategic dependencies

    Which energy, food, finance, logistics, technology, labor, and data networks create options and constraints?

    Read reviewed synthesis →
  6. 05
    Evidence reliability

    What is observed, inferred, disputed, caveated, corrected, or still unknown?

    Read reviewed synthesis →
  7. 06
    Crisis cascades

    How could a conditional shock move through systems, trigger unequal effects, and reach correction or recovery?

    Read reviewed synthesis →

Six reviewed research lenses

Different questions.
Different evidence burdens.

Every lens has a distinct truth boundary. A report can provide a useful method even when its current officeholders, memberships, statistics, case details, or causal conclusions need renewed verification.

01

Power in Practice

Who can decide, implement, block, review, or remedy?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

02

Domestic Politics of Alignment

Which domestic institutions and constituencies shape external policy?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

03

Regional Organizations and Small-State Agency

How do regional rules, secretariats, coalitions, and small states influence outcomes?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

04

Global Strategic Dependencies and Resilience Atlas

Which material and service networks create options, costs, and constraints?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

05

Intelligence Cooperation, Evidence Reliability, and Analytic Disagreement

What is known, how reliable is the source, and where do analysts disagree?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

06

Crisis Cascades, Resilience, and Recovery

How might a shock propagate, be corrected, and move toward recovery?

Method and fictional-design guidance only; current claims require claim-level verification.

One fictional event · six interpretations

A port closes.
What does that actually mean?

A simplistic story says “the country changed sides.” A systems account asks which authority ordered the closure, who can challenge it, which domestic coalition supports it, what regional rules apply, which supply chains reroute, what evidence is reliable, and how second-order effects change the next decision.

  1. AuthorityEmergency order, court review, local implementation, and remedy may diverge.
  2. Domestic politicsCabinet, legislature, port workers, regional government, business, and affected communities may disagree.
  3. Regional organizationTreaty duties, consultation, exemptions, and small-state coalitions shape response.
  4. DependenciesFood, fuel, insurance, shipping, finance, and data routes have different substitutes and delays.
  5. EvidenceOfficial statements, shipping records, witnesses, imagery, and partner reports carry different limits.
  6. CascadePrice changes, delays, misinformation, displacement, adaptation, correction, and recovery are conditional.

International fairness and safety

Complexity without
moral typecasting.

The same method applies to allies, rivals, major powers, small states, governments, companies, regional bodies, and affected communities. Different wording requires evidence—not cultural assumption.

No lens produces a development, morality, threat, loyalty, dangerousness, stability, recruitability, targetability, legitimacy, or resilience score. The site does not expose infrastructure weaknesses, covert-contact guidance, attack planning, surveillance evasion, voter persuasion, or operational tradecraft.

SEPARATE

Law from implementation

Formal authority, practical authority, capacity, disagreement, and remedy are different records.

QUALIFY

Claim from confidence

Source reliability, information credibility, analytic inference, and confidence remain visible.

LOCALIZE

External from local perspective

Local-language, locally authored, oversight, rights, and affected-community sources matter.

PRESERVE

Correction and uncertainty

Earlier states, dissent, missing evidence, correction, and supersession remain addressable.

Open records

Inspect the method,
sources, and review state.

Every lens has a canonical report, preserved source, machine-readable disposition record, durable-memory pointer, and active `.uai` summary. Current case claims still require claim-level verification before publication as live world assessment.

Connected tools and standards

Explore the wider AI ecosystem.